Journal
УКР   ENG
Socio-Economic Problems
of the Modern Period of Ukraine
   



Collection SEPSPU -- sep2022.04.007

Repository of Institute of Regional Research UDC 339.565+339.562(477); JEL F14
Ishchuk, S., & Protseviat, O. (2022). Diahnostyka transformatsiy u tovarnomu eksporti rehioniv pid vplyvom povnomasshtabnoyi rosiys'ko-ukrayins'koyi viyny [Diagnostics of transformations in regions’ commodity export under the influence of full-scale Russian-Ukrainian war]. In Sotsial'no-ekonomichni problemy suchasnoho periodu Ukrayiny [Socio-Economic Problems of the Modern Period of Ukraine]: Vol. 156 (4) (pp. 7-13). DOI: https://doi.org/10.36818/2071-4653-2022-4-2. [in Ukrainian].
Sources: 8

Authors



Ishchuk Svitlana Oleksiyivna

Doctor of Economics, Professor

Head of the Department of problems of the real sector of regions' economy of the Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine

Contacts: iso.ird@ukr.net, (032)270-7093, (066)212-3829

Webpages:



Protsevyat Oksana Semenivna

Leading Engineer of the Department of problems of the real sector of regions' economy of the Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine

Contacts: oksanayakhymetc@i.ua

Webpages:

Resume

The Ukrainian economy is traditionally export-oriented – the export share of goods and services in GDP (in actual prices) was 40.6% in 2021, and in GVA – more than 45 %. The military aggression of the russian federation against Ukraine has actualized the problematic topic of strengthening the domestic export potential to ensure the proper level of socio-economic development. Therefore, the Government has announced an orientation towards the export model of the national economy’s growth – the goal has been set to increase the share of exports in GDP up to 50%. The purpose of the article is to assess the dynamics and directions of the structural transformations in the commodity exports of Ukrainian regions under the influence of armed aggression by the russian federation. The authors conduct an express diagnosis of export-import operations in Ukraine in the conditions of a full-scale russian-Ukrainian war. The export activity at the meso level is analyzed based on the calculation of indicators that characterize: the export coverage level of imports, the commodity export orientation of the economy, the degree of technological export, and the high-tech export orientation of industry. Attention is focused on a significant share of toll manufacturing products in the high-tech commodity exports of the vast majority of the Western regions. Based on the structural assessment of the commodity exports of Ukraine and its regions, changes in the export specialization of the latter ones by main commodity groups are defined. Key trends and problems in the formation and development of Ukraine's export potential in the face of external challenges and threats are outlined. Measures for the implementation of an effective state policy for domestic export stimulation are offered, and their target orientations from the standpoint of national interest protection are defined. The need for a large-scale import substitution program initially focused on investment stimulation in the processing industries where Ukraine has sufficient raw materials potential for their development (agro-processing and production of finished metal products) is emphasized. Further establishment of the production of goods with high added value will allow changing the product structure of Ukrainian exports toward the increase in the finished products’ share of processing industries and mechanical engineering.

Keywords:

export, import, structure, products, commodity group, specialization, technological degree, regions

References

    
  1. Natsional’na ekonomichna stratehiya – 2030 [National Economic Strategy – 2030] (2021). Center for economic recovery: Website. Retrieved from https://nes2030.org.ua/#rec246061582 [in Ukrainian].
  2. Ivanov, S. V., Lyashenko, V. I., & Osadcha, N. V. (2022). Stratehichni napryamy formuvannya eksportnoyi stratehiyi Ukrayiny v umovakh vidnovlennya ekonomiky [Strategic Directions for the Formation of Ukraine’s Export Strategy in the Context of Economic Recovery]. Ekonomichnyy visnyk Donbasu – Economic Herald of Donbass, 1(67), 16-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12958/1817-3772-2022-1(67)-16-27 [in Ukrainian].
  3. Storonyanska, I. Z. (Ed.) 2022. Ekonomika rehioniv Ukrayiny v umovakh viyny: ryzyky ta napryamky zabezpechennya stiykosti [The economy of the regions of Ukraine in the conditions of war: risks and directions of ensuring stability]. Lviv: Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine. (Series «Problems of regional development»). Retrieved from http://ird.gov.ua/irdp/p20220033.pdf [in Ukrainian].
  4. Ishchuk, S. O., & Lyakhovska, O. V. (2020). Rozvytok ahropererobnykh vyrobnytstv u rehionakh Ukrayiny [Development of agro-processing industries in the regions of Ukraine: raw material aspects]. Lviv: Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine. (Series «Regions: monitoring, forecasts, models»). [in Ukrainian].
  5. Deyneko, L. V. (Ed.) (2022). Vyklyky maybutn’oho dlya promyslovoho rozvytku Ukrayiny [Future challenges for the industrial development of Ukraine]: Scientific report / Institute of the Economy and Forecasting NAS of Ukraine. K., DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2022.05.003 [in Ukrainian].
  6. Deyneko, L. V., Kushnirenko, O. M., Tsyplitska, O. O., & Hakhovych, N. H. (2022). Naslidky povnomasshtabnoyi voyennoyi ahresiyi RF dlya ukrayins’koyi promyslovosti [Consequences of full-scale military aggression of the Russian Federation for Ukrainian industry]. Ekonomika Ukrayiny – Ukraine economy, 5(726), 3-25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2022.05.003 [in Ukrainian].
  7. Zovnishn’oekonomichna diyal’nist’ [Foreign economic activity] (2020). State Statistics Service of Ukraine: Website. Retrieved from http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
  8. Ishchuk, S. O., Polyakova, Yu. V., Protsevyat, O. S. (2021). Struktura ta dynamika ukrayins’koho tovarnoho eksportu: rehional’nyy vymir [Structure and dynamics of Ukrainian merchandise exports: regional dimension]. Rehional’na ekonomika – Regional economy, 1, 20-29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.36818/1562-0905-2021-1-3 [in Ukrainian].


Web-master P. Popadyuk